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Overcoming Experimenter Bias in Scientific Research and Finance ... Some thoughts

The original article by David H. Bailey, "Overcoming Experimenter Bias in Scientific Research and Finance, " compellingly explores the challenges posed by experimenter bias and offers practical solutions, such as data-blinding techniques. However, integrating Herbert Simon's intellectual frameworks—particularly his concepts of "bounded rationality" and "satisfying"—can deepen our understanding of these issues and suggest more comprehensive solutions.   Experimenter bias, as described in the article, is a manifestation of bounded rationality, where researchers, constrained by cognitive limitations and information gaps, unconsciously favour data that aligns with their hypotheses or the prevailing consensus. Simon (1957) introduced the concept of bounded rationality to explain how individuals make decisions under constraints, stating, *"The capacity of the human mind for formulating and solving complex problems is small compared to the size of the pr...
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AI biotech investment

  Hedge funds employ a variety of strategies to capitalize on opportunities in the biotechnology sector, particularly with the emergence of AI-driven drug discovery companies like Latent Labs. Below is an in-depth exploration of how these strategies can be applied, accompanied by detailed market positions: 1. Long/Short Equity Strategy: Application: • Long Positions: Invest in innovative AI-driven biotech firms poised for growth. • Short Positions: Short-sell traditional pharmaceutical companies that may lag in adopting AI technologies. Market Positions: • Long: Companies like Recursion Pharmaceuticals, which integrates AI in drug discovery and has partnerships with major firms like Bayer and Roche. • Short: Traditional pharmaceutical companies that have been slow to integrate AI into their research and development processes. 2. Event-Driven Strategy: Application: • Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): Monitor potential M&A activities in the biotech sect...

Wall Street's Crypto Revolution & Market Updates

  Wall Street's Crypto Revolution & Market Updates February 12, 2025 "Markets are strongest when they are broad, and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue-chip names." — Bob Farrell 🔥 Today's Top Stories Goldman Sachs ends IPO diversity pledge amid Trump influence Elon Musk suggests Federal Reserve audit while Powell pushes back JPMorgan faces employee petition against 5-day office mandate Anduril takes over Microsoft's $22B Army headset program SoftBank investments turn red amid market volatility 📈 Squeez of the Day: Wall Street's Next Gold Rush Wall Street's relationship with cryptocurrency has been complicated, to say the least. From Warren Buffett's infamous "rat poison" comment to Jamie Dimon's recent dismissal of Bitcoin's intrinsic value, traditional finance has long kept crypto at arm's length. But 2025 is showing a dramatic shift in sentiment. Here's why: The Crypto Revolution Trump's Pro-Crypto Poli...